[Ambitious Graduate Students] How should we adapt to climate risks? Exploring the current status and issues with adaptation strategies paired with mitigation measures
Azumi Handa ( a fourth-year doctoral student at the Graduate School of International Relations)
Our society, our lifestyles, and sometimes even our lives are threatened by climate risks that are thought to be caused by the effects of global warming. Many reports about massive natural disasters around the world including Japan often point to the impacts of global warming. Now more than ever, the countries of the world are being forced to respond to the risks of global warming.
Global warming is thought to be primarily caused by excessive emissions of greenhouse gases, most importantly is the amount of CO2 emission. Therefore, reducing greenhouse gas emissions is an important issue being addressed in the context of climate change mitigation measures; however, human beings have reached a point where they can no longer deal with global warming with mitigation measures alone.
This is why around the 2000s, scholars around the world began to consider adaptation strategies—climate change policies to help society cope with climate risks.Azumi Handa, a fourth-year doctoral student at the Graduate School of International Relations, is struggling alone as a researcher of adaptation policy, a relatively new area in the environmental policy field.
Mitigation measures alone are not enough; adaptation strategies are indispensable
CO2 reduction is a common theme throughout the world. Signed in 2015, the Paris Agreement calls for the following: (1) hold the increase in the global average temperature to be below 2°C above pre-industrial levels and pursue efforts to limit the temperature increase to 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels and (2) achieve net zero greenhouse gas emissions (i.e., balance anthropogenic emissions with absorption over a specified period).
The Paris Agreement also pointed out to the importance of adaptation to climate risks with the Global Goal on Adaptation, that is, “enhancing adaptive capacity, strengthening resilience, and reducing vulnerability to climate change.”The Sixth Assessment Report (AR6) of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) states that when implemented together, adaptation strategies and mitigation measures generate more synergies with the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs).
“Global warming is already progressing, and even if we were to achieve virtually zero greenhouse gas emissions, the effects of climate change would be unavoidable. Based on the assumption that climate risks will occur, adaptation strategies refer to policies that consider how society will cope with these risks and provide guidelines. In 2018, the Japanese government enacted the Climate Change Adaptation Act in response to the international community’s call for adaptation strategies as well as mitigation measures as practical climate risks became apparent. Even now, however, the very existence of initiatives to adapt to climate change is not widely known to the public. Therefore, there is a great deal of room for progress and high expectations for practically accumulating the adaptation strategies I am researching and putting them into some semblance of order,”Handa explained.
When adaptation strategies are formulated and working properly, they can serve as both a guideline and a way for the society to cope with the phenomena that may occur as a result of climate change. In Japan, however, there is an insufficient amount of policy research because not much time has passed since the enactment of the Climate Change Adaptation Act. This is why Handa felt it was a worthy cause to tackle this research topic.
“Adaptation strategies in Japan are based on the Climate Change Adaptation Plan, which covers seven areas: agriculture, forestry, and fisheries; marine environment and resources; natural ecosystems; natural disasters and coastal areas; health; industry and economic activities; and people's daily lives and urban living. In order to transit to a society that can adapt to climate change, measures will be advanced in each of these areas. Since the analysis will also cover current policies and measures related to these areas, it would be difficult for a single person to conduct an exhaustive study of all these areas. Therefore, since the large-scale flooding that occurs every year in Japan is a risk of growing concern among domestic climate change issues that should be focused on, this is the area that I am analyzing in my research on adaptation,”Handa added.
The 2018 Western Japan floods led Handa to conduct her research field
Handa first became aware of adaptation strategies when she was a first-year master's student in 2017, one year before the Climate Change Adaptation Act was enacted. Although it was not her current research field, some data from India that she was looking at, brought her into the field.
“Many Japanese companies have established operations in India and are engaged in a variety of activities there. When I looked at the places where they were setting up their facilities, I noticed that, for some reason, they included regions prone to frequent flooding. This led me to ask myself a simple question: ‘Since flooding can naturally impede business operations, why are Japanese companies choosing these locations?’ This, in turn, led me to my current research on adaptation,” Handa recounted.
Companies expanding overseas conduct feasibility studies in advance and scrutinize the profitability of new businesses. If they are expanding despite the risk of flooding, there are two main reasons for this. The first is that the advantages gained in the destination country outweigh the disadvantages of flood risk, and the second is that even if there is risk, there is a framework in place to compensate for it, namely, insurance. Handa realized that these kinds of insurance systems might be a form of adaptation.
“The reason why companies can expand into areas where climate risks are expected to threaten their operations is, because there are some methods in place to deal with those risks. Upon further research, I found that one way that Japanese companies expanding into India can address the situation is, to make use of flood insurance programs. So, my first encounter with adaptation was when I learned that this kind of method can be categorized as an adaptation strategy in the field of climate change policy. Knowing that adaptation strategies are undertaken after being discussed internationally, I became interested in what kind of policies Japan is trying to establish with regard to climate risks as one of the members of the international society or to build national resilience. It was during this time that a massive disaster known as the 2018 Western Japan floods caused extensive damage mainly in the western part of the country. This was the first case in Japan in which the Meteorological Agency mentioned the climate change as a potential contributing factor to a flood. This is one of the reasons why I decided to focus on the field of natural disasters, and in particular large floods, in my research on adaptation strategies,” Handa explained.
A field with limited prior research and few research colleagues nearby
After developing a firm understanding of the history and background that led to the birth of adaptation strategies, Handa began researching the situation in Japan. The Ministry of the Environment, which oversees adaptation strategies, has established a department to address adaptation to climate change, the Climate Change Adaptation Office, within the General Affairs Division of the Global Environment Bureau. However, the Ministry of the Environment is only working on a general framework, leaving local governments to implement actual adaptation strategies. Handa believes that by studying this series of systems, she can present the results of her analysis on the characteristics and the issues of Japan's adaptation strategies.
“In the public sector, the Ministry of the Environment plays a central role, but the Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, Transport and Tourism and the Ministry of Health, Labor and Welfare are also involved. However, specific initiatives are left to the prefectural and municipal governments to implement. This is because it is considered desirable to design adaptation strategies tailored to the social, economic, cultural, environmental, and other characteristics of each region."
Handa has visited several local governments to conduct interviews with those responsible for adaptation, including front line disaster response personnel and environmental division personnel. What she came to be keenly aware of, was how difficult it is to promote adaptation strategies on ground. Although the law has been in act for five years, the reality is that local governments have not been able to sufficiently develop a track record of practices at the working level. It seems that it is not easy for local governments to oversee the entire policy-making process from the formulation of adaptation plans to the implementation of specific initiatives.
“For positions related to disaster management, you can hire people who studied in specialized fields like civil engineering. However, adaptation is a relatively new field of environmental policies, where instead of addressing disaster risks from the standpoint of individual policy professionals, measures need to be effectively coordinated and integrated, so there are few people at the working level who have studied adaptation. In addition, there is room to further develop the organizations and systems for planning and implementing adaptation strategies. Still, the reality seems to be that we have no choice but to take some kind of action because the government has handed down instructions and allocated a budget,” Handa said.
Adaptation strategies in their current state often aim to build a society that is adaptive to climate risks, with researchers from existing academic disciplines related to each area of adaptation leveraging their respective expertise. While those experts are well suited to consider the details of measures in each area of adaptation, Handa believes that adaptation researchers are indispensable to take a holistic view of adaptation strategies and effectively link them together. She explains:
“A leading example of adaptation can be found in the United Kingdom, which established an independent research institute called the Climate Change Committee. The Committee provides evidence on climate change and encourages bodies involved in making climate change policy, including Parliament, to update their efforts to address climate change in terms of both mitigation and adaptation. Due in part to this work by the Committee and other institutions, the United Kingdom has a reputation for engaging in evidence-based adaptation planning and for formulating and applying evaluation criteria for climate risk. I plan to conduct additional field research and data analysis on the United Kingdom’s adaptation strategies, and by doing this, I hope to understand how the use of adaptation research outcomes in policy can make a concrete contribution to real-world adaptation strategies.”
Working to establish a research community and build up a track record of publications
Civil engineering is the most straightforward and concerned field when considering climate change adaptation strategies in regard to flooding, and many researchers in this field are asked by media outlets to make comments when large-scale flooding occurs. As far as Handa knows, there are not that many policy researchers in the world who study adaptation head-on.
“I don't think there are that many researchers working on the policy and institutional aspects of adaptation. The reason I introduce my research by emphasizing that I conduct policy research on adaptation is to establish my identity among adaptation policy and adaptation-related researchers who are bound to become increasingly important. I also hope that this will be a testament to the fact that I have consistently studied adaptation ever since I decided to pursue a career as a researcher.
One stance I maintain in my policy research on adaptation is a focus on the global versus the local perspective, that is, adaptation strategies in Japan as a member of the international community and adaptation strategies to address climate risks within Japan. Since I always keep in mind international relations and Japan, both directly and indirectly, I think my research can be expected to contribute adaptation strategies in developed countries and the study of adaptation in urban areas, something that is starting to attract attention in the field of adaptation research. I believe this is my identity and my strong suit as a policy researcher focusing on adaptation." Handa added.
In March 2024, Handa visited the United Kingdom, a leading country in adaptation as she mentioned earlier.One piece of advice she received during that trip was to create her own academic society or community if one did not already exist. In response, immediately after returning to Japan, Handa formed a five-person study group with other researchers from the Graduate School of International Relations, where she is currently studying, and the Graduate School of Law at Ritsumeikan University.
“In my research, I address academic issues in policy related to adaptation by conducting qualitative research case studies. Another academic activity of mine related to adaptation is the establishment of the Society of Climate Change Adaptation, which I achieved by recruiting my colleagues. Together we plan to address the common issue of why we must undertake adaptation strategies, and in the process, we will leave a record of theoretical research. The Society is currently looking into publishing a book to make the public aware of climate change adaptation strategies. With this research, I hope to promote the understanding of adaptation itself and why Japan needs to undertake it as a member of the international community, and I hope to contribute to advancement of adaptation strategies.
I have been studying international relations at Ritsumeikan University since I was an undergraduate student. Although I was interested in environmental issues when I first entered the Graduate School of International Relations, I never dreamed that I would one day become an adaptation researcher in the field of climate change policy. I believe that the interdisciplinary education in the undergraduate curriculum, as well as the experience of being taught by professors from other fields such as environmental economics, Japanese economics, international environmental law, and the theory of environmental policy, is what cultivated my desire and courage to tackle this novel field.”
According to Handa: to pursue pioneering research feels like being “an explorer.” The results of her work could eventually serve as a guidepost for Japan's environmental policy.
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